14 Sept · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1542
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kuzmenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1479
FormWLLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H48-81
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)