14 Sept · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Badanin
ELO 1400
FormWLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Bakin
EB
🇺🇦Evgenii Bakin
ELO 1457
FormWWLLL
44%
56%
🌟Badanin covers set handicap as underdog 85% (13)
Fair odds · Bakin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H4-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)