14 Sept · 09:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇺🇦Mykhailo Vivatenko
ELO 1489
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vivatenko
IF
🇺🇦Illia Fokin
ELO 1487
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fokin🌟Fokin covers set handicap as underdog 69% (32)
Fair odds · Vivatenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.