14 Sept · 07:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anatoliy Lysyi
ELO 1338
FormLWWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Bakin
EB
🇺🇦Evgenii Bakin
ELO 1457
FormWWLLL
38%
62%
🌟Bakin stays under total as favourite 67% (21)
Fair odds · Bakin
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+119
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)