14 Sept · 09:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1588
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Parahailo
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1587
FormLWWLW
50%
50%
🌟Tebenko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (188)
Fair odds · Parahailo
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~71 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H15-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.