14 Sept · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1520
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Syksa
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1571
FormLLWWL
45%
55%
🌟Maliuk covers set handicap as underdog 65% (136)
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H43-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-22)