14 Sept · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
HO
🇺🇦Hryhoriy Oliynyk
ELO 1446
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vivatenko
MV
🇺🇦Mykhailo Vivatenko
ELO 1489
FormWLLLW
45%
55%
🌟Vivatenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (59)
Fair odds · Vivatenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)