14 Sept · 13:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1594
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Volkov
AO
🇺🇦Andrii Obishchenko
ELO 1590
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
🌟Obishchenko covers set handicap as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H8-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.