14 Sept · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1479
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1520
FormWWLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H32-40
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.