14 Sept · 12:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1535
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mukhin
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1486
FormWLLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Mukhin
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 21% · 4.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H0-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)