14 Sept · 12:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OR
🇺🇦Oleksii Rodin
ELO 1590
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Rodin
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1540
FormWLLLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorsuliak🌟Vorsuliak covers set handicap as underdog 66% (163)
Fair odds · Rodin
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)