14 Sept · 08:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1588
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Rodin
OR
🇺🇦Oleksii Rodin
ELO 1590
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Rodin
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~72 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H12-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.