14 Sept · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1513
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Treschetka
MV
🇺🇦Mykhailo Vivatenko
ELO 1489
FormWLLLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H10-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.