14 Sept · 07:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1535
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Mukhin
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1459
FormLLLWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Mukhin
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 27% · 3.68· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H3-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)