14 Sept · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1554
FormWLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Dobias
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1633
FormWLWLL
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Liska🌟Dobias rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (236)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H13-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)