14 Sept · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Mejzlik
ELO 1509
FormLWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Mejzlik
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1424
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Mejzlik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)