14 Sept · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Badanin
ELO 1400
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Badanin
AL
🇺🇦Anatoliy Lysyi
ELO 1338
FormLWWLW
57%
43%
🌟Badanin stays under total as favourite 67% (30)
Fair odds · Badanin
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H20-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-9)