14 Sept · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Mejzlik
ELO 1509
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mejzlik
AD
🇺🇦Adam Dvoracek
ELO 1442
FormLWLWL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dvoracek🌟Dvoracek covers set handicap as underdog 70% (110)
Fair odds · Mejzlik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H6-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)