14 Sept · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1554
FormWLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vyskocil
MV
🇺🇦Marek Vyskocil
ELO 1579
FormWLWLL
47%
53%
🌟Liska covers set handicap as underdog 65% (148)
Fair odds · Vyskocil
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.