14 Sept · 08:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1446
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Stetsenko
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1465
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H5-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.