14 Sept · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1535
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mukhin
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1465
FormWWLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Mukhin
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 27% · 3.72· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H3-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)