14 Sept · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Mejzlik
ELO 1509
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Plyska
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1533
FormLLWWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mejzlik🌟Mejzlik covers set handicap as underdog 72% (82)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.