14 Sept · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1581
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pytsko
IP
🇺🇦Ivan Pytsko
ELO 1598
FormWLWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Pytsko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H5-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.