15 Sept · 00:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1550
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Pytsko
IP
🇺🇦Ivan Pytsko
ELO 1598
FormWLWLW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Maltsev🌟Maltsev covers set handicap as underdog 66% (157)
Fair odds · Pytsko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H38-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-11)