15 Sept · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1530
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kovshun
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1574
FormLWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Kovshun
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)