15 Sept · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Bilobrov
ELO 1520
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bilobrov
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1506
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
🌟Karpenko covers set handicap as underdog 63% (123)
Fair odds · Bilobrov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H2-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.