15 Sept · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1574
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kovshun
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Bilobrov
ELO 1520
FormLWLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Kovshun
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H9-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-2)