15 Sept · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1810
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Verbyany
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1742
FormWLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Verbyany
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H61-111
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)