15 Sept · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1492
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ziakun
VZ
🇺🇦Viktor Ziakun
ELO 1511
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Ziakun covers set handicap as underdog 66% (167)
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H12-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.