15 Sept · 07:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1503
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ziakun
VZ
🇺🇦Viktor Ziakun
ELO 1511
FormWWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Maliuk covers set handicap as underdog 65% (139)
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 25% · 4.00· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H5-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.