15 Sept · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
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🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1558
FormWWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kolesnykov
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1506
FormWLLLW
56%
44%
🌟Karpenko covers set handicap as underdog 63% (123)
Fair odds · Kolesnykov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H24-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-23)