15 Sept · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1492
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kuzmenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1533
FormWLWLL
46%
54%
🌟Ziakun covers set handicap as underdog 66% (167)
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H51-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.