15 Sept · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1558
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1604
FormLLWLW
45%
55%
🌟Kolesnykov covers set handicap as underdog 65% (86)
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H37-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-11)