15 Sept · 06:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1810
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Verbyany
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1764
FormWLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Zeniuk covers set handicap as underdog 64% (73)
Fair odds · Verbyany
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H50-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (50-34)