15 Sept · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇺🇦Mykola Zavoloka
ELO 1477
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Shulhachyk
PS
🇺🇦Pavlo Shulhachyk
ELO 1560
FormWWWLW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zavoloka🌟Zavoloka covers set handicap as underdog 74% (19)
Fair odds · Shulhachyk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)