15 Sept · 07:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1506
FormLLWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Honcharenko
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1338
FormWLLLW
67%
33%
🌟Matviichuk stays under total as underdog 72% (87)
Fair odds · Honcharenko
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~73 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+168
H2H67-54
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (67-54)