15 Sept · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LA
🇺🇦Lukas Adam
ELO 1587
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Adam
OK
🇺🇦Ondrej Kaderabek
ELO 1520
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Adam rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (78)
Fair odds · Adam
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H14-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-13)