15 Sept · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1539
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pisa
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1606
FormLWWWW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rulc🌟Rulc covers set handicap as underdog 63% (109)
Fair odds · Pisa
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H31-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-23)