15 Sept · 09:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1596
FormLLLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Pesternikov
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1749
FormLLLWW
34%
66%
🌟Kozachuk stays under total as underdog 66% (193)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+153
H2H113-97
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+153)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (113-97)