15 Sept · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MU
🇺🇦Miloslav Ullman
ELO 1467
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Senk
JS
🇺🇦Jakub Senk
ELO 1533
FormLLLLW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ullman🌟Senk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (69)
Fair odds · Senk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)