15 Sept · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1749
FormLLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pesternikov
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1692
FormWWWWL
56%
44%
🌟Pesternikov stays under total as favourite 64% (253)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H88-54
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (88-54)