16 Sept · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇺🇦Michael Hasman
ELO 1532
FormLWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hasman
AD
🇺🇦Adam Dvoracek
ELO 1454
FormLWLLW
58%
42%
🌟Dvoracek covers set handicap as underdog 69% (114)
Fair odds · Hasman
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)