16 Sept · 11:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YM
🇺🇦Yaroslav Makovka
ELO 1418
FormLLWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Pytsko
IP
🇺🇦Ivan Pytsko
ELO 1581
FormLLWLL
33%
67%
Fair odds · Pytsko
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)