16 Sept · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1573
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Syksa
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1551
FormWWWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H80-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.