16 Sept · 07:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1732
FormWWWWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Marushchak
AH
🇺🇦Andrii Hrabskyi
ELO 1545
FormWWLLL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Marushchak
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~73 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+187
H2H32-37
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+187)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)