16 Sept · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr Kolbasenko
ELO 1677
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kolbasenko
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1639
FormLLLWW
54%
46%
🌟Lievshin covers set handicap as underdog 66% (107)
Fair odds · Kolbasenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.