16 Sept · 08:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1732
FormWWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Marushchak
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1639
FormLLLWW
60%
40%
🌟Lievshin covers set handicap as underdog 66% (107)
Fair odds · Marushchak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~73 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+93
H2H14-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-5)