16 Sept · 07:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Orest Melnik
ELO 1420
FormWLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Hel
VH
🇺🇦Valerii Hel
ELO 1489
FormLLWWL
43%
57%
🌟Hel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (62)
Fair odds · Hel
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)