16 Sept · 08:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IP
🇺🇦Ivan Pytsko
ELO 1581
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pytsko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1575
FormLWWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Pytsko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H6-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.