16 Sept · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Badanin
ELO 1398
FormWLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Honcharenko
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1477
FormLLLLW
42%
58%
🌟Badanin covers set handicap as underdog 87% (15)
Fair odds · Honcharenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H17-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)